2012 Supply Chain Trends


Almost half way down 2012, I think we can start to have mid-year roundup of top Supply Chain transformation initiatives being undertaken by major CPG & Retail players. 

Starting of a new era after so called recession, focus of the industry shifted back from cost cutting to expansion strategies and that is what we are observing in supply chain organizations now. Many companies increased their budget for significant investments in SCM transformation initiatives. Industry experts and market leaders quoted loads of anecdotes on growing importance of supply chain efficiencies to increase shareholder value. While existing supply chain consultants are overbooked with projects started in 2011 and early 2012, many boutique consulting firms are gaining momentum. From what we have gathered and researched, the below list would give some insight on what are some top initiatives which these firms are undertaking:

1.       Mergers, Acquisitions & Disinvestments: With huge amount of cash build up in the safe, many CPG companies are out shopping. Some to gain diversification, others to attain efficiencies & increased reach and the rest to edge competition out. Some of the highlights from recent times-
a.      COTY again made a far reaching bid to acquire bigger-in-size AVON for $10.69 Billion and this time Avon is considering the offer
b.      Bed Bath & Beyond is buying out Cost Plus which is having 259 retail outlets in US and was store-within-a-store partner with Bed Bath & Beyond. The deal is said to contribute to improved synergies and transaction cost
c.       ACCO Brands recently completed merger with MeadWestvaco’s Consumer & Office Business to increase scale & cash flow, to attain synergies, to compete in new markets and to improve financial health of the combined entity
d.      Hallmark Cards Inc. acquired SpiritClips to develop a new channel for engaging consumers and increasing distribution reach via digital products
e.      ConAgra Foods, Inc. completed its acquisition of Del Monte Canada to enter into new categories and new markets 
2.       Sales & Operations Planning: As I mentioned in my previous blog entry on S&OP, this area gathered a lot of interest in year 2011 and entered mainstream. S&OP brings all aspects of business together to get align strategy, product, demand, supply and finance. Several service providers focused on S&OP witnessed a huge growth in requirements from clients and eventually revenues. One of the known service provider in this area (Steelwedge) launched planning application to address common issues in the industry. They even have started webinars and lectures to educate the management on S&OP process.
2 years back less than 25% of the CPG companies had formal S&OP processes, while now this number is over 50%. Among the $1 Billion plus (in annual revenue) companies, this number is even higher than 70%. And remaining companies are working to define their S&OP processes. The focus on S&OP is expected to grow further considering ‘overall slowdown of business growth’ and ‘rising customer order fill rate expectations’. 

3.       "Green" initiatives and corporate social responsibility: I had posted an article on Green Initiatives generating interests some time back. The year 2011 saw a lot being done in this arena and has become the new frontier in the industry. Consumer has become "Green-Savvy" and this has got attention of the big manufacturers. In 2011, many companies included Green Initiatives even in their annual financial reports and quarterly reports. Companies touched several aspects of their supply chain to make their products and services more environmental friendly.
Mattel for instance made their procurement policies greener by abandoning Asia Pulp and Paper as a supplier, courtesy Greenpeace. Similarly Honda of America in recent years has made it a point to strengthen waste free manufacturing processes. Method Products, Kraft, and Kellogg’s made recent efforts to become greener with their packaging initiatives. Hasbro has also significantly reduced product-to-package ratio. Other manufacturing companies are focusing on making manufacturing processes environment ‘friendlier’ by reducing energy consumption, limiting use of plastic products and using renewable sources of energy. While on distribution front, increased fuel costs have got major retailers and CPG firms relooking at low-cost environment friendly transportation options. All in all, 2012 and beyond would see lots of traction on green initiatives because of its positive impact on environment and also on corporate treasure chests. 

4.        Getting more out of IT: IT has been considered backbone to supply chain and any reorganization / improvement in supply chains is augmented in parallel by change in IT landscape of the organization. What changed in 2010-11 significantly was the reorganization in organization wide structure of IT departments. The importance in separating demand side of IT and supply side of IT was realized and companies changed the structure of the organization's IT in the same way.
Apart from that, companies focused on IT to deliver further advantage in terms of cost savings, revenue increase and market capitalization. 2012 is witnessing an increase spend in Business Intelligence, Trade Promotion Management, Product Life cycle Management and Multichannel management solutions and integration. And these words are expected to continue as buzzwords in 2012-13 as well.

5.       Consolidated Procurement: Many who work in product design often comment that over 80% of the cost of manufacturing a product is determined during the design and procurement phases.  By rationalizing the purchased materials and the suppliers, the quantities purchased from each supplier increase dramatically providing great leverage to the purchasing organization. Also, planning for aggregate procurement, considering many brands and acquired entities, procurement costs are being rationalized drastically.
One of the projects I undertook in 2010 focused on this area and seeing the improvements and benefits of that project I can definitely say that this is one of the simplest options for organizations to cut cost and significant ROI. Several organizations worked on this area for a short span of time in 2011 and start of 2012 gained tremendously. Going by the trend, this could be one of the new initiatives global supply chain may undertake aggressively in 2012-2013.

6.       Trade Promotion Optimization: While Trade Promotion Management has been one of the biggest buzzwords for the last couple of years, has helped CPG companies realize significant $ savings, its not-too-distant cousin Trade Promotion Optimization has seen increasing demand now that companies are more aware of advantages of getting more out of trade spends. Companies who had invested in Trade Promotion Management initiatives and have benefited from them are not moving towards more analytical solutions to optimize trade spends for leveraging higher ROI.
Software vendors have also developed industry leading and highly analytical solutions which seamlessly integrate with POS data feeds and TPM solutions to provide insights into trade spend ROI at customer and category level. SAP Trade Promotion Optimization (TPO) is one such solution which leverages its analytical engine to process complex POS data and provide easy to understand insights. It features comprehensive promotion pre-assessment tools which help in creation of trade promotion scenarios, forecasting sales / ROI and perform complex what-if analysis.

7.       Multi-channel Management Solutions- Last 2-3 years have seen exponential increase in number of sales channels which consumers have been exposed to. Gone are the days when Brick-&-Mortar stores were the preferred consumer channels. E-commerce, m-commerce, catalogues, call centers, kiosks and direct-to-home are the new consumer facing channels and it has become extremely important for CPG companies to project a unified and synchronous brand image via all these channels. Providing the same product information across all consumer touch-points is becoming equally important. Surveys indicate that over 50% of the customers are dis-satisfied with cross channel experience, while 59% of the customers switch vendors after having single bad experience. This has led to a lost revenue of $338 Billion by enterprises in 16 key global economies. Reference- Oracle & ATG Acquisition Presentation.
This has led CPG companies to head into the direction of Multi-channel management initiatives which helps companies manage consumer interaction across diverse sales channels. Such solutions integrates all sales channels to help enterprises develop unified product strategy and for customers to have unified experience across sales channels. Several companies are already head-in with multichannel management solution implementations. Keeping up with the pace, technology solutions & services providers have also come out big bang with MCCS solutions. Leading the race is Oracle ATG’s multichannel management solution, which is being picked up by many CPG companies due to it’s off the shelf features.

 
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